美国战略和预算评估中心-更多相同的?俄罗斯军队的未来及其变革能力(英)-2024.3.docx
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1、Crutrrf11rStraUicH1.dBMl11hryAjekuwi心MOREOFTHESAME?THEFUTUREOFTHERUSSIANMI1.ITARYANDITSABI1.ITYTOCHANGEKATHERINEKJE1.1.STROME1.GINMoreofthesame?THEFUTUREOFTHERUSSIANMI1.ITARYANDITSABI1.ITYTOCHANGEKATHERINEKJE1.1.STROME1.GINCSBACimUrKrtndee*ndDnHarvkstxmntUn2024ABOUTTHECENTERFORSTRATEGICANDBUDGETARYA
2、SSESSMENTS(CSBA)TheCenterforStrategicandBudgetaryAssessmentsisanindependent,nonpartisanpolicyresearchinstituteestablishedtopromoteinnovativethinkinganddebateaboutnationalsecuritystrategyandinvestmentoptions.CSBA,sanalysisfocusesonkeyquestionsrelatedtoexistingandemergingthreatstoU.S.nationalsecurity,
3、anditsgoalistoenablepolicymakerstomakeinformeddecisionsonmattersofstrategy,securitypolicy,andresourceallocation.2024CenterforStrategicandBudgetaryAssessments.Allrightsreserved.ABOUTTHEAUTHORDr.KatherineKjellstromElginisaFellowattheCenterforStrategicandBudgetaryAssessments.Shebringsrigorousresearchto
4、policydiscussionsandhasheldpositionsinbothacademicandpolicyorganizations.PriortojoiningCSBA,sheservedasaDAADPost-DoctoralFellowattheForeignPolicyInstituteofJohnsHopkinsSchoolofAdvancedInternationalStudies(SAIS).Dr.ElginhasalsoworkedattheBrookingsInstitutionandwiththe1.ongTermStrategyGroupinWashingto
5、n,D.C.In2018,sheservedasavisitingfellowattheInstituteforSecurity&DevelopmentPolicyinStockholm,Sweden.Dr.ElginearnedherPh.D.inPublicAffairs(SecurityStudies)fromPrincetonUniversitysSchoolofPublic&InternationalAffairs.AtPrinceton,sheservedasthedirectoroftheCenterforInternationalSecurityStudies1Strategi
6、cEducationInitiative,leadingtheuniversitysprogramforeducatingandmentoringstudentswithaninterestinnationalandinternationalsecurity.Dr.ElginalsoearnedherA.B.inPoliticsfromPrincetonUniversity.Dr.ElginspeaksFrench,Russian,andSwedish.ACKNOW1.EDGMENTSThisreportbenefitedfromthecontributionsofmany.Theauthor
7、wouldliketothankTimSadovforhissubstantialcontributionstohistoricalandRussian-languageresearchandJoeRoss,AlidaBlendonohy,ChrisRadcliffe,andMaryWatermanfortheirresearchsupport.ThomasC.MahnkenandEvanB.Montgomeryprovidedinvaluablefeedback,asdidothermembersoftheCSBAcommunity,includingEricEdelman,MichaelH
8、unzeker,TravisSharp,andJanvanTol.Theauthorwouldalsoliketothanktheparticipantsinaseriesofworkshopsthatsupportedtheproject,particularlyDimaAdamsky,aswellasthosewhoreviewedearlierversionsofthisreport.Finally,theauthorthanksEleanorShioriHughesandothersfortheireditingandpublicationsupport.Theanalysisandf
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