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1、那场电影真是奇怪Thatwasaweirdmovie.我还以为是喜剧呢Yeah,fromthereviews,Ithoughtitwasgonnabemoreofacomedy,huh?我觉得不错Ithoughtitwasprettygood.青少年都喜欢无聊的电影BOY:Teenagerslikeboringmovies.你只喜欢卡♥通♥罢Youonlylikecartoons.我只是不喜欢某人喜欢的无聊电影No.Ijustdon,tlikeboringmoviesaboutpeopleinlove.我能吃冰激凌吗？Canwegeticecream?不行我们得赶快
2、回家No,wegottogethome.得了吧反正都顺路Oh,comeon.It,sontheway.Kindof其实并不是顺路Actually,bud,its-it,snotatall.Youknow?我很喜欢However.知道你想吃Youknowyouwantto.既然你这样说Well,see,ifyouputitlikethat,then.哈哈Haha爸爸Dad!怎么回事？Whatwasthat?!抓住方向盘Takethewheel!我正在努力mtryingto,mtryingto!爸爸爸爸Dad!Dad!当心要撞车了Watchout,youregonnahit.!当心Stop!Sto
3、p!快停车Dad?Dad?爸爸？-爸爸？Dad!-Dad?爸爸Dad!好运气1.adyluck.偶然性Chance.随机性Randomness.人类的理解过程很漫长Humanbeingstrulyhaveahardtimeunderstandingit雨滴是随机的Raindropsfallrandomly.下列的哪幅图更像是Now,whichofthesetwoimagesbestrepresents人行道上的雨滴痕迹？raindropsfallingonasidewalk?是A图吗？IsitimageA?是B图吗？好的ImageB?Okay.你们错了Yourewrong.我们的大脑错将平均O
4、urbrains看作是随机misperceiveevennessasrandom,并且错误地认为团形是故意的andwronglyassumethatgroupingsaredeliberate.基于此人们通常Becauseofthis,peoplemakeallsorts做出非理性的选择Ofirrationaldecisions.比如不在高楼里面工作或者他们1.ike,they-theywontworkinahigh-risebuilding,害怕住在地震高发区ortheyreafraidtoliveinanearthquake-pronearea.然而数学评估告诉我们Andyet,amath
5、ematicalassessmenttellsus你在床上闷死的可能性thatyouarefarmorelikelytosuffocateinbed要高于死于恐怖袭击的可能thanyouaretodieinaterroristattack.你醉酒而死的可能要比Youaretentimesmorelikely死于地震的可能性高10倍todiefromalcoholthanfrombeinginanearthquake.并且你买♥♥彩票途中Anditisthreetimesmorelikely被撞死的可能性thatyouwillbekilledwhiledriving是
6、你中彩票可能性的tobuyalotteryticketthanitisthatyouwill.三倍还多thatyouwillwinthelottery.他们说他是被枪杀的Theysaidhewasshot.是的我们也是这样估计的Yeah,thatswhatwethink.你能想到有谁Isthereanyone想伤害你的丈夫吗？whowouldwanttoharmyourhusband?不没人No.Noone.我是DonEppesFBImDonEppes,FBI.MariaMarla.你知道是谁干的吗？So,doyouknowwhodidit?目前还不知道我们在调查Notyet,but-butw
7、ereworkingonit.我在新闻上听说Iheardonthenews高速公路上有袭击therewereattacksonthefreeways.是的是这样Yeah.That,strue.但是我们不知道这些事件和Butwedon,tknowifthoseincidentsarerelated对你丈夫的袭击有何关联tothe,uh,theattackonyourhusbandatall.是的我们想进行Right,Imean,whatwedliketodoifwecanisjusttakea.打搅了Kinkirk夫人？Excuseme.Uh,Mrs.Kinkirk?是的Yes.你丈夫很稳定Yo
8、urhusbandsstable.谢天谢地ThankGod.有些事情需要商量Thereareissuesthatneedtobediscussed.好的Allright.我们离开一会儿Wellgiveyouafewminutes.等你把事情谈完Wellwaitforyoudownhere.请别走Oh,pleasestay.呃Um.我带这些小家伙lltaketheseguys.我们去那边玩玩怎么样？Whydontwegohangoutthere,guys?1谢谢Okay.Thankyou.不用谢Comeon.Itsallright.你丈夫头部被枪击伤Yourhusbandsustainedagu
9、nshotwoundtohishead.幸运的是1.uckily,子弹没有更深入thebulletdidnotpenetratefar.它在右脑垂处It,slodgedintherightoccipitallobe.我们的神经外科医生很信心Ourneurosurgeonisconfidentthathecanremoveit不造成损害而取出子弹withoutfurtherdamage.你们能告诉我So,canyouguystellmeanythingatall当时的情况吗？thatyourememberfromwhathappened?我听到车后有声巨响Iheardaloudcrashfrom
10、theback.我转过身Pete吓惨了Iturned,andPetewasscared.被声音吓惨了Fromthenoise.是的Right.随后我看到了血AndthenIsawtheblood.我和pete都AndIlooked看着一个地方wherePetewaslooking.我看到Isaw爸爸受伤了Dadwashurt.之后又怎么了？So,whathappenedthen?我抓住方向盘Igrabbedthewheel,andItried避免撞车tokeepusfromcrashing.是的真是聪明Yeah,well,that,ssmart.Youknow,真是不错在枪响之前itsgood
11、thinking.Now,有没有什么突现的东西？rightbeforetheshot,isthereanythingthatstoodout?比如汽车或者其他东西？Anycarsoranythingthatyoumightremember?我不知道Idontknow.我想当时Ithinkmaybe有辆白色的卡车therewasawhitetruck?好的Okay.我没看清谁在开车Ididn,tseewhowasdrivingit.对不起我没看见Sorry,Ididntseeit.我们爸爸应该没事吧？Is-Isourdadgoingtobeokay?是的Yeah.我们会尽力And,youknow
12、,we,regonnadoeverythingwecan找到这家伙的tofindtheguy.8周之内就有7次袭击Wegotsevenfreewayattacksineightweeks.4人死亡Fourpeopledead.你没事吧？Youokay?我向那些孩子撒谎了Well,youknow,Ijustliedtothosekids.不你让他们没那么难过No,youmadethemfeelDon这很艰难不是吗？alittlebetter,Don.Itsatoughtime,right?我是个白♥痴♥一切看上去都很好manidiot,actinglikeeveryt
13、hingsgonnabenormal.那些孩子得相信Thosekidsneedtobelievethat一切会好起来的iftheyregonnamakeitthrough.得了吧Dave他们的生活从此改变了Comeon,Dave.Theirlivesarenevergonnabethesame.没有敌人或者Y:Theresnoindication经济婚姻问题ofenemies,financialormaritaltroubles.没有任何目击证人Witnesstestimonyandtipscameupempty.好的我们有什么发现？Allright,sowhathavewegothere?两
14、个月内7次袭击Wegotsevenattacksintwomonths.你怎么想Megan是连环杀人吗？Whatdoyouthink,Megan,serial?如果是的话都是非♥典♥型的MEGAN:Uh,ifso,it,satypical.所有的受害者都是随机的AlltheMOsaredifferent.是的以前的袭击用的是小箭Yeah,thepreviousattackswehadawristrocket,石头砖块铁块thrownrock,brick,tireiron,高尔夫球杆之后又是枪击golfclub,andthenarifleshot.现在我们在找寻附近持枪的人Nowwerelookingatahandgunfromcloserange.受害者也和犯罪分♥析♥不符Victimsdontfitaprofile,either.是的富人穷♥人♥亚裔DAVID:Yeah,it,srich,poor,Asian,拉丁裔白人各种各样1.atino,whites,acrossthespectrum.也许并不止一个凶手MEGAN:Youknow,maybeinstead可能有着一大批模仿者ofonesociopath,we
