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1、STRESSTESTINGADAPTIVESOCIALPROTECTIONSYSTEMSINTHESAHELByAlineCoudouel,SilviaFuselliandMiraSaidiSaheladaptiveSOCIALPROTECTIONPROGRAMABOUTTHESAHELADAPTIVESOCIALPROTECTIONTRUSTFUNDTheSahelAdaptiveSocialProtectionProgram(SASPP)isfundedbyamulti-donortrustfund(MDTF)withcontributionsfromtheDenmarkRoyalMini
2、stryofForeignAffairs;theAgenceFranaisedeDdveloppement(AFD);theGermanFederalMinistryforEconomicCooperationandDevelopment(BMZ);andtheUnitedKingdomForeign,Commonwealth,andDevelopmentOffice(FCDO).ItsobjectiveistosupportsixSahelianCountries-BurkinaFaso1Chad,Mali,Mauritania,Niger,andSenegalinbuildingASPsy
3、stemsprimarilytohelpvulnerablehouseholdsadapttotheimpactsofclimatechangebutalsotoothercovariateshocks.TheSASPPismanagedbytheSocialProtectionandJobsunitoftheWest-CentralAfricaregionaldepartmentoftheWorldBank.MHNtSTftV 0 FMEICN AFFAIR! O* DEMMARKDbankgroupThisworkisaproductofthestaffofTheWorldBankwith
4、externalcontributions.Thefindings,interpretations,andconclusionsexpressedinthisworkdonotnecessarilyreflecttheviewsofTheWorldBank,itsBoardofExecutiveDirectors,orthegovernmentstheyrepresent.TheWorldBankdoesnotguaranteetheaccuracy,completeness,orcurrencyofthedataincludedinthisworkanddoesnotassumerespon
5、sibilityforanyerrors,omissions,ordiscrepanciesintheinformation,orliabilitywithrespecttotheuseoforfailuretousetheinformation,methods,processes,orconclusionssetforth.Theboundaries,colors,denominations,andotherinformationshownonanymapinthisworkdonotimplyanyjudgmentonthepartofTheWorldBankconcerningthele
6、galstatusofanyterritoryortheendorsementoracceptanceofsuchboundaries.NothinghereinshallconstituteorbeconstruedorconsideredtobealimitationuponorwaiveroftheprivilegesandimmunitiesofTheWorldBank,allofwhicharespecificallyreserved.TABLEOFCONTENTSForeword4Acknowledgements5Authors6ExecutiveSummary7OverallAs
7、sessment10ArrangementsandPartnerships12DataandInformationSystems13ProgramsandDeliverySystems14Finance15Abbreviations161.istOfTabIes171.istOfFigures17ListofBoxes181. Introduction191 .1TheSahel:RegionattheIntersectionofOverlappingShks1912 AdaptiveSocialProtection2113 Methodology252. ProgressontheFourB
8、uildingBlocksforASP:AMixedPicture2721 Overview2722 InstitutionalArrangementsandPartnerships:KeyFindings2823 DataandInformationSystems:KeyFindings3424 ProgramsandDeliverySystems:KeyFindings4225 Finance:KeyFindings503. ConclusionsandRecommendations56AppendixA:SocialProtectionStressTestToolanditsApplic
9、ationintheSahel62References72EndNotes75FOREWORDTheStressTestingAdaptiveSocialProtectionSystemsintheSahelreportexaminestheexistingsocialprotectionsystemsintheSahelandidentifieselementsthatneedstrengtheningtoaddresstheneedsintheregion.TheworkforthisreportbeganduringtheCOVID-19pandemic,whichtestedtheca
10、pacityoftheadaptivesocialprotectionsystemsintheSahelcountries.Theeconomicconsequencesofthepandemicwereextensive,particularlyforvulnerableandpoorhouseholdsintheSahel1andreversedyearsofpovertyreductionefforts.WhiletheSahelcountriesareshowingsignsofenomicrecoveryfromthepandemic,theycontinuetofaceamulti
11、tudeofongoingcrises,includingglobalchallenges,suchastheinflationandeconomicfalloutfromthewarinUkraine,andlocalizedshockslinkedtoinsecurityandworseningclimatetheSahelrecentlyexperiencedveryseveredroughtsandfoodinsecurity,alongsidemorefrequentandsevereflooding.Theseincreasinglychallengingcontextscallf
12、oreffectiveadaptivesialprotection(ASP)toolsandstrategies.ASPisacriticaltooltoreachtheWorldBanksgoalofaworldfreeofpovertyonalivableplanet.Indeed,tofaceworseningclimatechange,increasinglyfrequentclimate-relatedshocks,andeconomicshocksfromanevermoreglobalizedworld,itisessentialtohavesystemsinplacethatc
13、anbuildtheresilienceofthepoorestandmostvulnerablehouseholdsaheadofshocks,aswellasprotectthem,theirproductiveinvestments,andtheirhumancapitalfromthenegativeimpactsofshocks.Inrecentyears,theSahelcountries,withthesupportoftheWorldBankandtheSahelAdaptiveSocialProtectionProgram(SASPP),havebeguntoinvestin
14、adaptivesocialprotectionsystems.Governmentshaveestablishednationalsafetynetprograms,whichofferregularsupporttosomeofthepoorestsegmentsofthepopulation.ASPsystemsweredesignedfortheseprogramstoscaleup,incoordinationwithhumanitarianpartners,torespondtoshockssuchasfoodinsecurityandpandemics.Whiletheirrea
15、chandscaleremainlimited,theirsuccessesarenottobeminimized,andsomesuccessfulelementshaveinspiredothercountriesinAfricaandbeyond.ThisreportdrawslessonsfromtheASPtrajectoryintheSahel.Itusesthestresstestmethodology,designedbytheWorldBank,toassesstheabilityofsocialprotectionsystemstorespondtoshocks.ThereportprovidesarichoverviewoftheexistingsystemsintheSahelalongthefourbuildingblocksofASP.First,itexaminestheinstitutionalarrangementsforASPandshockresponseintheregion,andexploreslinkagesacrossgovernmentagenciesandexternalpartners,whichplayanimportantroleinr
