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1、数字追凶(2005)Numb3rsSeason2Episode9Partl孩子们Hey,kids.看着Watchthis.不错Notbad.ROb.?-我的吸入器Rob.?-Myinhaler.该死的花粉Thedamnpollen.好些了么？Better?rob?Rob?rob!Rob!rob啊天哪！Rob,oh,mygod!孩子们快打911Boys,call911.rob!Rob!救命啊！Somebodyhelpme!嗨-嗨Hey.-Hi.什么案子？WhatdoWegot?robevans34岁看起来是中风患者RobEvans,34,Apparentstrokevictim.你说看起来”是什
2、么意思？Whatdoyoumean-apparent?国家健康组织在过去2个多礼拜Thenationalinstituteofhealthhasidentifiedfourunusualseizures在洛杉矶已经发现4例可疑癫痫患者了inLosAngelesinalittleovertwoweeks.因此他们给我们打了电♥话♥Sotheycalledus.他们认为是假药Theythinkitsproducttampering.这些人抽搐发作的时候都是吃的非处方药品Allthevictimswereonover-the-countermedicationswhent
3、heseizuresstruck.有什么事么david?Whatdoyousay,David?晚上好Evening.NIH已经分离出毒物了是Primaleet.NIHidentifiedthetoxinasPrimalect-一个麻黄碱衍生物是镇痛药可以引发中风anephedrine-basedpainrelieverknowntocausestrokes.你是说那些药都被一种药污染了？Allthesedrugswerepoisonedwithadifferentdrug?是的Yeah.这还不是最可怕的地方Thatsnoteventhescariestpart污染的药品品种每次都不同It,sn
4、otthesameproducteverytime.有时候红色喷鼻药Oneoccasionwasanasalspray有时候是止咳药anotherwasacoughsuppressant还有2次是呼吸吸入剂叫做truftenandontwooccasionsitwasanasthmainhalercalledTruften.也就是说是对3种产品的随机攻击Soitsrandomattacksonthreetotallydifferentproducts.而且是从洛杉矶4个不同的药店里买♥♥的Purchasedofftheshelfatfourseparatepharm
5、aciesacrossL.A.county.也就是说召回是不怎么管用的Sonowaytodoaneffectiverecall.也就是说所有用药的人都可能被这个疯子杀死Whichleavesanyoneneedingmedicationcompletelyvulnerabletoamaniac.我们每天用到数学Weallusematheveryday.来预测天气topredictweather.计算时间totelltime.管理金钱tohandlemoney.数学不是简单的公式和方程Mathismorethanformulasandequations.它是逻辑It,slogic.数学不是简单的
6、公式和方程mathismorethanformulasandequations.它是理性Itsrationality.是用你的大脑来解决我们已知的最大难题lt,susingyourmindtosolvehebiggestmysteriesweknow.数字追凶第二季第九集primalect在四年前临床试验后就没有继续生产了Primalectwasdiscontinuedfouryearsagoafterclinicaltrials.试验发现它做为镇痛药Developedasabasicpainreliever可以导致相当多比例的人itwasfoundtocausestrokesandarrhy
7、thmia出现中风和心律不齐inastatisticallysignificantnumberofcases.知道现在谁能搞到它么？Knowwhowouldhaveaccesstoitnow?临床试验后公？药剂师医生护士医院工作人员都可以Afterclinicaltrials-pharmacists,doctors,nurses,hospitalstaff.好消息是我不认为他是想杀人Thegoodnewsis,Idontthinkheintendedtokill.为什么？Why?他有能力把剂量控制的恰到好处Anarrow-gaugesyringesuggestssomelevelofcompe
8、tence.这不更危险公？Wouldntthatmakehimmoredangerous,though?是的但是他可以用土的丁Yeah,buthecouldhaveusedstrychnine或者富化物或者任何可以致人orcyanideoranyoneofahundredtoxins死命的毒物thatwereavailablethatwouldhavecausedfatalities.是的因此他就选择了一种Right.Sohejustchoseaproduct只对某些服用它的人起作用的产品thatwouldonlybeharmfultoapercentageofthosewhousedit.这
9、不表明他想谋杀Whichdoesnotdescribeahomicidalintent.这更像是他想跟我们交流Itsmorelikehestryingtocommunicatewithus.嗨Charlie-我不能找到意图HeyCharlie.-Well,Icantspeaktointent但是我能提供一些方法学上的帮助butIcanshedalittlelightonthemethodologyused.好吧我们从megan的假设开始Okay,sostartwithMegansassumption假设嫌疑人想和我们交流thatourpoisoneristryingtocommunicatew
10、ithus,right?他.他在通过污染这些药品He,s-he,stryingtoprovideinformation向我们提供信息bytamperingwiththesemedications.现在唯一的共性就是Now,thecommonality-thepointhekeepsrepeating-他用的毒物ishischoiceofmedications.是的我们没有找到这3种产品的其他共性Yeah,butwedidn,tfindaconnectionbetweenanyofthethreeproducts.3种？不don是四种4Three?No,Don,four.Four.你们忘记把污染
11、剂本身算上了Youguysareforgettingaboutthecontaminateitself也就是primalectTheprimalect.是的但是他们现在就没卖♥♥的Yeah,buttheydontevensellthatanymore.可能不是哦根据信息理论它们之间还是有联♥系♥的Maybenot,butinformationtheoryindicatesthatthereisaconnection.什么是信息理论？Sowhat,sinformationtheory?信息理论是这样的.Informationtheory-i
12、tsaboutgettingamessage从A点到B点传递一条信息frompointAtopointB.就拿3人爵士小乐队打比方吧他们演奏一首曲子Pictureathree-piecejazzcomboplayingacertainsong.我们可以通过很多不同的方式听到这个曲子Therearemanydifferentwaystohearthesamesong.每个方式听到的都不同Eachmethodwillreproducethemusicdifferently但是旋律-旋律还是能听的出来butthetune-thetuneremainsdiscernible.现在假设污染药品是嫌疑人的
13、曲子Nowiftamperingmedicationsisourpoisonersmusic那么primalect就是他的旋律thenPrimalectisthekeyhesplayingitin.等等你认为它不只是一个武器,Waiyouthinkitwasmorethanjustaweapon.我认为它是这个信息的关键Ithinkitsthekeytothemessage.四年前primalect就禁止使用了ThePrimalectcontroversywasoverfouryearsago.我们把它从市场上召回了Wepulledthatfromthemarket.在它导致了相当数量的中风之
14、后Notbeforeitcausedasignificantnumberofstrokes.是的但这就是临床试验reeves探员Well,that,swhatclinicaltrialsarefor,agentReeves.另外据我所知这次污染的药品Butit,smyunderstandingthattheproducttampering不只是我们公&hearts词♥生产的truften吸入剂啊isntlimitedtotheTrufteninhalersourcompanymakes.请坐Please.谢谢Thankyou.是的这种东西也污染了止咳药和鼻吸药No,theprod
15、uctwasalsousedtocontaminatecoughsyrupandnasalspray.鼻吸药是在tailridge实验室研制的ThepatentforthenasalspraywasdevelopedatTallridgeIabs-是一个graybridge公♥司♥的分支机构asubsidiaryOfGraybridge-止咳药也是graybridge公&hearts同♥的产品andthecoughsyrupisalsoaGraybridgeproduct.所有这3种药品还有那个毒药Allthreeproductstamperedwithandthepoisonused都和你们公♥司♥有关canbetracedtoyourc
